The hoo ha, the panic, the hysterical threats to the Greek voters from the EU, Germany, the German Press. Central Bankers, from London to Tokyo, at the ready to face the crisis the results of the Greek elections are expected to bring on. Isn’t this all rather too extreme? In fact isn’t it all positively ridiculous?
The immediate fear is not that aliens will descend from the moon and take over the planet, though sometimes it does sound like that. No, the fear is that if the Greek elections go the “wrong” way (a new definition of democracy that), then there will be extensive runs on the banks of southern Europe, maybe a fall in Euro parity, mayhem on the stock markets and… so what else is new? All that has already become a standard feature of the global economy since Merkel decided to dig her obstinate little feet in.
The problem is not Greece. How could it ever have been? A tiny country on the periphery that could have been set straight at a minimum cost. But Greece was not the problem. Merkel was and is.
The European crisis coming on the heels and as a result of the toxic sub prime crash was not properly diagnosed. In fact it was fatally misdiagnosed and horribly mismanaged by Merkel and her side kick Sarkozy. Economic Sense was wilfully discarded to impose a very Teutonic disciplinary regime whereby the miscreants get harshly punished. And the crisis spreads and grows.
When your policy consists of imposing the harshest form of austerity that leads to extreme recession in fact depression, how are you ever going to get paid back by a country whose GDP you have made it your object to sink?
So it’s not the result of the Greek elections. Whatever these turn out to be, the problem will not be solved unless there is a drastic change in European policy. If the conservative ND party forms a government pledged to carry out the austerity as it is, the country’s economy, already in a shambles, will have collapsed completely by the fall. Not to mention the social upheavals and breakdown once it becomes obvious that the ND pre election promises were nothing but hot air.
So don’t be overjoyed when the result putting ND first party comes in. It isn’t going to stop anything, neither the Spanish descent nor even the Italian crisis looming ahead. How could it? As for ensuring Greece remains in the Eurozone, it will not make a jot of difference to that issue either. So Greek elections or no Greek elections, if the real problem of the Eurozone is not properly diagnosed and sensibly managed, then I am afraid the whole of the EU might implode and not just Greece.
But let me end on a lighter note, since tomorrow we vote. One of the numerous jokes going round Greece at the moment is the following:
If Alexis Tsipras wins and with a large majority, then Merkel will have a heart attack and the whole of Europe will rejoice! Answer: To have a heart attack, surely you also have to have a heart?

