It is being reported over and over again that there is an impasse in the so called “negotiations” with the troika. The IMF representative is pressing for more and more, actually less and less in terms of pensions and pensioners. Instead of the new and better “climate” that the inept and pathetic Samaras waxed lyrical over, we have a much worse climate, where the troika do not trust the Greek government an inch.
The “negotiations” appear “deadlocked”, for two reasons, we are told. First and foremost because the IMF is insisting that Greek debt is not sustainable but that if the EU wish to remain in denial over this (as they do for a number of reasons) then the only answer is to abolish pensions altogether in Greece, bring in slave drivers, deprive Greeks of all and any rights, because anyway the 2013 recession will be much larger than the projected 3.8%.
The IMF is most certainly right about two things. That Greek debt is not sustainable and that the recession will be far worse than projected. What Mr Thompsen fails to explain to us however, is that if all his demands are actually put into effect, in what way will it benefit the Greek economy?
While the Greek Finance Minister and the infamous troika are haggling over cuts, in a manner that would make the least educated corner grocer blush, certain things, which they chose to completely ignore, are happening beyond their delightfully idiotic “calculations”, over cuts and revenues.
Though it is not geographically far away, the Greek government and the troika appear not to have noticed that things are flaring up on the Turkish-Syrian border. That outright war with NATO involvement may well be imminent. I suppose slashing the pay of the armed forces and reducing expenditure is precisely what is needed under these circumstances.
At home, the Ministry of Defence was besieged, and its courtyard broken into by desperate workers from the Skaramanga Shipyards protesting because they have not been paid for several months. Doctors and hospital personnel are demonstrating outside the Ministry of Health because these grocer mentality cuts have lead to the impossibility of hospitals to function as they should. (Doctors have, in fact rather imaginatively, offered to operate on the politicians without anaesthetic. Well… cuts have to be made!)
But the happy and perennially optimistic Mr Stourrnaras appears quite oblivious about everything going on around him and tells us he is quite confident that the 31,5 bn tranche of the loan will be disbursed to Greece before the end of October. He is so upbeat about it that more and more people are beginning to wonder whether he might not know something we do not.
However, like a latter day Alice caught in this surreal Wonderland, that is Euroland, Mr Stournaras, like Poul Thomsen, fails to explain to us just how the Greek Economy will benefit from this, when the funds (if they do come as he expects) are sucked down the black hole of our insolvent banks and whatever funds may be channeled to the private sector are well below what the Greek state owes the private sector, which means liquidity will not be enhanced either.
And above all, given that to be granted the disbursement at all, the sine qua non, is the complete destruction of the Greek economy by snuffing out the trickle of remaining demand, and throwing the Greek people into a such a catastrophe not seen since the war.
Where does he find his optimism? Besides, given the growing unrest, which will get worse as things get worse (as they are doing) and amid the government’s promise to the people, that much worse is to come, does he really think these measures will pass through Parliament smoothly?
Oh, and we must not forget, even if Stournaras chooses to, that an almighty stink has just been let out of the bag over how Venizelos, currently leader of PASOK and the second prong of the government coalition, tucked away a list of tax dodgers with large bank accounts in Switzerland that had been handed over to the Greek government by Christine Lagarde when she had been French Minister of Finances.
Instead of acting on it, as other countries did, enhancing their revenue significantly, Venizelos chose to protect these tax dodgers while slapping his despicable and exorbitant tax on houses through the electricity bill.
I would say none of this and still less all of this together augurs well. What is it, Mr Stournaras that makes you feel so upbeat? An Alice in Wonderland Syndrome? It cannot be anything else, because even if things do go the way you plan, it will be an even greater disaster for Greece than if they don’t.
